Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.German Chancellor Angela Scholz called for a vote of confidence to pave the way for the February 23rd election.
STOXX Europe 600 Index rose by 0.25% after the US CPI data was released.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Apple introduced Siri with ChatGPT, and on Wednesday, Apple released software updates for iPhone, iPad and Mac, including Siri with ChatGPT. This is also a major victory for OpenAI, because it shows its most important products to millions of iPhone users.
Chongqing released the third batch of 700 collaborative development projects of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, with a total investment of over 271 billion yuan. On the 11th, the third round of project release activities of Chongqing's state-owned enterprises, private enterprises and foreign enterprises linked with Wanzhou Bank and the collaborative development of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises was held in Wanzhou District, Chongqing, and 700 collaborative development projects of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises in 2024 were released on the spot, with a total investment of over 271 billion yuan. Three rounds of contract signing were held on site, with a total investment of 46.5 billion yuan. (Zhongxin. com)US officials said that the United States is focused on providing Ukraine with the air defense system it needs to defend against Russian missiles and drones.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13